From the monthly archives:

May 2008

Something Adam Smith Taught Me

by Wade Young on May 27, 2008

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I’m embarrassed to say that I never finished Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith. I did make it much of the way through, however, and Mr. Smith taught me an important lesson about efficiency. Making a wagon, for example, is far less efficient if you construct it from start to finish in the traditional craftsman style. It’s better to make nothing but wagon wheels on Monday, nothing but wagon seats on Tuesday, only wagon beds on Wednesday, etc. By specializing on one task at a time, you can make ten times the wagons in the same amount of time.

This is a basic business lesson that most of us know but fail to practice. It’s not that we don’t know how to be successful — it’s that we don’t do what we know. Our tendency is to place our concentration on whatever task is put in front of us, until another grabs our attention. We jump from email to voice mail to cell phone to MS Word to talking to someone who pokes their head in our office. At the end of the week, we’ve made only one wagon instead of ten.

It is important to bundle tasks together, controlling your attention on tasks instead of the tasks controlling you. Rather than jumping from this to that, I try to focus on one thing at a time. I devote a segment of time each week to sending out thank you notes and postcards as part of my regular follow-up campaign, for example. The other way to do follow-up is to tackle it whenever that particular person crosses your mind — which is far less efficient because it requires you to drop something, do the follow-up and then resume the original task.

The time you waste each day is time that could be spent prospecting for new business. I challenge you to find ways to make ten wagons in the same time another person can only make one.

Wade Young is a Denver mortgage broker.

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Mortgage Market Update

by Robert D. Ashby on May 27, 2008

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I hope everyone had a great extended weekend and kept the thoughts of those who have fought and those who continue to fight for our freedom on your hearts yesterday. Now, down to business. If I had to sum up last week’s main movement into one word, it would have to be “inflation”.

There was not a lot of economic data last week, with the “main event” being the release of the “Fed Unplugged”, the minutes from their last pow wow. This release provides an in depth look at what the Fed gang was thinking during the last rate cut decision and more insight into why there were two dissenting votes. Bottom line was that despite the rate cut decision, all are beginning to realize inflation is a bigger concern than what they have been leading people to believe. My comment…it’s about time.

The week actually started off rather nice, with bonds moving higher both Monday and Tuesday, fueled by negative economic news and a relatively tame PPI reading. The PPI data, though, was not as tame as people were led to believe. Then came the Fed data, namely the release of the unedited version of what was happening during the last meeting and bonds began to sink as inflationary fears took over. Of course, oil consistently hitting new highs didn’t help.

As I said last week, floating was the best choice “so long as bonds hold above their moving averages.” They didn’t and the pattern that was trying to form, failed. Bonds tested their moving averages (support) Wednesday, then went crashing through the floor Thursday. They were again volatile Friday, but ended basically flat, thus ending the week down slightly (about 7 basis points).

The chart pattern that had been beginning to look bullish, requiring bonds to reach a higher peak in prices, has now turned to one that is bearish as a lower peak formed instead.

Unfortunately, inflation will likely haunt the bond market again this week. This week is going to end with the “whopper” on the inflation spectrum, likely setting the stage for where bonds will go from here. What is that “whopper”? The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE), which is the Fed’s favorite gauge of inflation when it comes to their “target” of 1.5 - 2.0%.

Beyond that report, there is nothing that will move the markets as much, though Auto Sales could give bonds a boost if they are low. Chicago PMI could also make some waves in the markets. Here is the schedule of events this week…

  • Tuesday: Consumer Confidence (10:00), New Home Sales (10:00)
  • Wednesday: Durable Goods Orders (8:30), Crude Inventories (10:30)
  • Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims (8:30), Auto Sales (8:30), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (8:30)
  • Friday: PCE (8:30), Personal Spending (8:30), Personal Income (8:30), Chicago PMI (9:45), Consumer Sentiment (10:00)

Remember that shortened trading weeks tend to add to the volatility, as was seen on Friday’s shortened day. Locking is probably the best bet this week, at least until bonds successfully test and hold above their 200-day moving average. If the PCE shows increases in inflation, that level could break.

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If I were a mortgage originator in San Fransisco…

by Todd Carpenter on May 26, 2008

if-i-were-a-mortgage-originator-in-san-fransisco

… I’d be headed to WealthCamp.

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Want advice about your mortgage website? Ask CoralSnake

by Todd Carpenter on May 26, 2008

want-advice-about-your-mortgage-website-ask-coralsnake

mortgagewebsiteadvice.pngI literally “Loughed Out Loud” when I saw this. This is what sometimes happens when you solicit advice on an open forum. I rarely contribute to Broker Outpost, but I do still read it from time to time. I’ve found CoralSnake to be one of my favorites.

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on the subject of RESPA reform

by Diane Cipa on May 23, 2008

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I listened to some of yesterday’s testimony on RESPA in the House Small Business Committee hearing.

I’ve read many of the public comments posted on RESPA.

Here are a few random thoughts……

Hold in your hand a closed mortgage loan file. Measure its depth and tell me how many of those forms are required by HUD or even the federal government? Some, but not many. Most of the forms and disclosures I see in files have been designed by mortgage lenders to either secure their interests, cover their concerns over law suits, route to various and sundry departments for servicing or other needs, instructions to settlement agents, etc. then we have the group of disclosures created by title companies and settlement agents to cover their various housekeeping and legal concerns. And, of course, don’t forget the voluminous sales agreement and agency disclosures and multi-list disclosures.

Mortgage lenders, title companies and real estate brokers never hesitate to subject the consumer to another form if it suits their fancy. It’s a cost of doing business.

Mortgage lenders, title companies and real estate brokers never hesitate to create software to support new procedures or forms if it suits their fancy. It’s a cost of doing business.

Mortgage lenders, title companies and real estate brokers never hesitate to seek legal counsel and pay attorneys if it suits their fancy. It’s a cost of doing business.

Mortgage lenders, title companies and real estate brokers never hesitate to create training seminars to cover new forms and procedures if it suits their fancy. In fact, there’s a whole cottage industry that thrives on maintaining a constant environment of change just so they can sell tickets to seminars and summits. It’s a cost of doing business.

Mortgage lenders, title companies and real estate brokers never hesitate to subject appraisers and settlement agents to procedural changes and documentation changes which cost money and time and training if it suits their fancy. It’s a cost of doing business.

Mortgage lenders, title companies and real estate brokers didn’t hesitate to pay many thousands of dollars in illegal kickbacks, gifts, etc. as documented in the ridiculous number of lawsuits, settlements, and regulatory actions of these last two or three years if it suits their fancy. It was a cost of doing business.

Mortgage lenders, title companies and real estate brokers never hesitate to spend millions to create super automated systems that replace human underwriters, appraisers, and title examiners if it suits their fancy. It’s a cost of doing business.

Mortgage lenders, title companies and real estate brokers never hesitate to create affiliations which shut out independent small business owners if it suits their fancy. It’s a cost of doing business.

The consumer is alone. Not a one, but HUD, is trying to find a better way to comparison shop.

These “folks” just don’t want anybody to monkey around with the referral net.

They want to control the point of sale.

They do not want to empower the consumer.

They do not want the consumer to have information.

The freedom consumers are enjoying in some of the new real estate shopping platforms is the new world.

Perhaps we need not depend upon HUD for consumer relief. Politicians tied to old school back room deals will likely put the kabash on the HUD effort.

Consumers have power even if HUD can’t help.

Consumers can and will demand access to information.

In my market I am there, giving it freely and will continue to do so.

Like minded title agents and other providers, let’s create our own free platforms and little bits of freedom here on the internet.

For now we have free speech. Let’s use it.

Consumers have the power.

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