Every quarter, the Federal Reserve releases the “Senior Loan officer Opinion Survey.” The current survey data is based on the responses from 52 domestic banks and 21 U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. Essentially, the Federal Reserve does a sampling to estimate how many banks are “tightening or loosening” and on what types of loans. Banks are tightening credit across the board. Here is what the Fed found out:
Residential Real Estate Lending
- 74% of respondents have tightened standards on prime mortgage lending (up from 60%)
- 84.4% of respondents have tightened standards on nontraditional mortgage lending (up from 75%)
- 85.7% are cracking down on subprime loans
- 80% have tightened standards on HELOCs
Commercial Real Estate Lending
- 80% of domestic banks have tightened their lending standards
Commercial & Industrial Lending
- 60% of domestic banks have tightened standards on C&I loans to large and middle-market firms (up from 50% in April)
Consumer Lending
- 65% have tightened standards on credit card loans (up from 30% in the April survey)
- 67.4% have tightened standards on consumer loans other than credit card loans (up from 45%)
The report also said that 55% of domestic respondents planned to further tighten credit standards on commercial and industrial loans in the second half of this year. Regarding commercial real estate loans, 70% believed that they would tighten their lending standards on these loans in the second half of 2008. On the residential side, 45% of respondents expect their banks to tighten standards on prime mortgage loans in the second half of 2008. Concerning nonprime mortgage loans, 65% anticipate tightening lending standards in the second half of 2008. Another 60% expect to tighten standards on HELOCs through the end of 2008. 60% plan to tighten standards on credit card loans in the second half of 2008.
Banks are tightening the supply of credit across the board, and the trend is expected to continue for the remainder of the year and on into 2009. There is even talk on the street that automobile leasing may go away altogether for a while. Chrysler Financial is getting out of the leasing business, and other leasing giants may follow suit.
Wade Young is a Denver Mortgage Broker.
Mortgage Industry Professionals. Like what you see?
SUBSCRIBE for free by RSS or email, and never miss a post!




